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Showing posts with label Business-Economic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business-Economic. Show all posts

Wednesday, 29 June 2011

Wall St gains 1 percent on Greece optimism

By Angela Moon<p>Traders listen to chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, make an address on a television screen as they work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York June 22, 2011. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson</p>

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks extended gains for a second day on Tuesday as optimism grew that a solution to the Greek debt problem was near, boosting investor appetite for risky assets.

Buyers snapped up shares that had fallen sharply in the past week, mostly in commodities and technology.

"The fact that we won't be seeing the worst-case scenario is the catalyst for the market that is still very oversold," said James Dailey, portfolio manager of TEAM Asset Strategy Fund in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

The S&P energy index surged nearly 2.2 percent, the biggest gainer among S&P sectors. Halliburton Co gained 5.3 percent to $48.66, while Chevron Corp was up 1.2 percent at $100.09.

Brent crude futures rose $2.41 on Tuesday, pushing oil above $108 a barrel as the dollar weakened and optimism grew that Greece would adopt an austerity program.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 118.64 points, or 0.99 percent, at 12,162.20. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 13.05 points, or 1.02 percent, at 1,293.15. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 31.99 points, or 1.19 percent, at 2,720.27.

Dailey said about the S&P 500 stock index that 1,285 to 1,300 was a technical range being closely watched.

Greek lawmakers will vote Wednesday and Thursday on the measures, which must be passed to receive the next payment of

12 billion euros. If Greece doesn't get the funds, investors fear a Europe-wide crisis and potential credit market freeze could follow.

Also helping sentiment, progress was reported in talks to persuade European banks and insurers to voluntarily roll over maturing Greek debt.

VIX AND THE GREEK VOTE

While the market was generally optimistic about the vote, some options gauge suggested otherwise.

The CBOE Volatility Index, Wall Street's "fear gauge," was at 19.62, a number considered relatively high.

"While the most recent newswires are predicting that the Greek government has the minimum votes needed (151 out of 300) to pass the austerity plan, the relatively small declines in the VIX this week, given how sharply the US equity markets have rallied, seem to be building in at least some doubt that the measure may fail," said Randy Frederick, director of trading and derivatives at Schwab Center for Financial Research in Austin, Texas.

"If the vote fails it could cause a rally in the dollar versus the euro and that would likely prompt a pullback in the domestic equity markets. Given a gain in the SPX of approximately 1.8 percent in the past two days, I would expect much more than the 6 percent decline we've seen in the VIX, especially given how high it is relative to the past 3 months or so."

Nike Inc surged 7.7 percent to $87.89 a day after reporting fourth-quarter earnings that beat expectations, while orders suggested robust strength for the future.

US STOCKS-Wall St rises after Greece vote, BofA gains



* Pending home sales rise more than forecast in May

* BofA gains after mortgage bond settlement

* BJ's Wholesale up on private equity buyout deal

* Indexes up: Dow, Nasdaq by 0.3 pct, S&P 0.5 pct

* For up-to-the-minute market news see [STXNEWS/US] (Adds quote, pending home sales, updates prices)

By Ryan Vlastelica

NEW YORK, June 29 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday after the Greek parliament passed an austerity plan and a mildly encouraging report on pending home sales.

Equities have rallied for two days in a row on optimism the Greece program would pass, with the S&P up more than 2 percent so far this week.

"The vote being passed is a step in the right direction to getting resolution," said David Levy, portfolio manager at Kenjol Capital Management in Austin, Texas. "We've had the issue on the table for some period of time now, and as resolution is reached it will give the market confidence."

The Greek parliament approved a five-year package of spending cuts, tax rises and state asset sales by a comfortable margin in a key step toward securing international funds and preventing the euro zone's first sovereign default. For details, see [ID:nL6E7HT0PS]

U.S. pending home sales rose a stronger-than-expected 8.2 percent in May, but a glut of unsold properties remained a drag on the housing market. The latest data followed a mildly encouraging housing on Tuesday. [ID:nN1E75R1XG]

"The improvement in home sales is encouraging, but this doesn't even begin to solve the structural issues in the sector," said Liam Dalton, president of Axiom Capital Management Inc in New York. "Still, any sign of stability is a victory."

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was up 39.81 points, or 0.33 percent, at 12,228.50. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX was up 6.77 points, or 0.52 percent, at 1,303.44. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was up 7.55 points, or 0.28 percent, at 2,736.86.

Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) rose 3 percent to $11.15 after it reached a settlement with mortgage bond investors. The $8.5 billion settlement removed a question mark hanging over the bank since October. [ID:nL3E7HT1RJ]

BJ's Wholesale Club Inc (BJ.N) added 4.8 percent to $50.40 after it agreed to a buyout by private equity firm Leonard Green & Partners and another group. [ID:nL3E7HT1RE]

Monsanto Co (MON.N) advanced 4 percent to $69.54 after its quarterly profit topped estimates, while General Mills Inc (GIS.N) edged 0.1 percent higher to $37.26 after the cereal maker forecast weaker fiscal-year earnings than Wall Street expected. [ID:nN1E75R28U] and [ID:nN1E75S02N] (Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

Bank of America pays $8.5bn to settle sub-prime claims

Bank of America has agreed to pay $8.5bn (£5.3bn) to settle claims that the lender sold poor-quality mortgage-backed securities that went sour when the housing market collapsed.


A group of 22 investors, including the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Pimco, and Blackrock, had demanded that the bank repurchase $47bbn in mortgages that its Countrywide unit sold to them in the form of bonds.

They argued that Countrywide has enriched itself at the expense of investors by continuing to service bad loans while running up servicing fees.

Brian Moynihan, chief executive of BoA, said in a statement: "This is another important step we are taking in the interest of our shareholders to minimize the impact of future economic uncertainty and put legacy issues behind us."

BoA bought Countrywide in 2008 for $4bn.

Shares in bank rallied as the settlement removed a question mark that has overshadowed the company.

Saturday, 25 June 2011

First 4G Android Tablet With Netflix Launches on Outdated OS


It’s a big day of firsts for Sprint. The carrier launched its first Android tablet on Friday compatible with the new 4G “Wi-Max” network. The device is also the first Android tablet out there capable of running Netflix.

Unfortunately, despite being first in line for 4G and Netflix, Sprint’s HTC Evo View tablet ships with the older version of Android: 2.3 (Gingerbread), not version 3.0 (Honeycomb). A future software update will bring Honeycomb, the version of Android made specifically for tablets, to the device.

That speaks to a larger problem of “fragmentation” on Android devices: the inability to implement the platform consistently across multiple types of hardware made by different manufacturers. Fragmentation is also the key reason why Android tablets have been slow getting popular video-streaming services such as Netflix and Hulu onto its devices. It presents a problem for making sure that Digital Rights Management technologies — or applications that make sure you aren’t ripping and recording any of the streaming content you’re watching — function across all devices.

“It’s not one type of gas that goes into every vehicle,” said Netflix head of communications Steve Swasey, in an interview. “DRM isn’t consistent across all Android devices, and unlike the iPad and iOS devices, there’s not one universal solution to it.”

Nonetheless, the HTC Evo View 4G’s compatibility with Wi-Max will be significant for those who want to watch streaming media on their tablet devices, as the speed boost you’ll get moving from a 3G device to 4G is considerable.

The even better news for movie buffs: Unlike the multiple Android tablets that have already hit the market this year, it’s the first Android tablet to run Netflix at launch. The device will essentially come pre-bundled with the Netflix app (after a minor software update upon first powering up the tablet). As of today, only five Android phones are officially capable of running the Netflix app.

“This is a result of extensive testing of the Netflix app on the product to make sure it works smoothly on our network,” a Sprint spokeswoman told Wired.com.

Most tablets released in 2011 so far fall into two categories: Wi-Fi only, the type of device most manufacturers launch first, and a 3G or 3.5G networked device, like the original Samsung Galaxy Tab (on Sprint’s 3G network) or T-Mobile’s G-Slate (which is 3.5G at best). HTC introduced the Flyer, the Evo View’s Wi-Fi-only predecessor, in late May.

Under the hood, the Evo View 4G is no slouch. The tablet sports a 1.5-GHz Qualcomm Snapdragon processor, a gig of ram, front and back-facing cameras and a 7-inch 1024×600 screen. It’s also got a stylus pen, which (for a limited time) will be thrown in for free if you buy a two-year contract.

In addition to the Evo View tablet, Sprint also launched the Evo 3D, HTC’s first 3-D-video-capable Android smartphone. The Evo View and Evo 3D are both available in Sprint and Best Buy stores as well as online, for $400 and $200 respectively, if purchased in conjunction with a two-year contract.

Instant view: Transportation buoys durable goods orders


(Reuters) - New orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods rose more than expected in May as bookings for transportation equipment rebounded strongly, according to a government report on Friday that could allay fears of a sharp slowdown in factory activity.

U.S. economic growth was revised modestly higher in the first quarter to account for a slightly faster pace of restocking by businesses and a smaller increase in imports, government data showed on Friday, but remained anemic.

COMMENTS:

ROGER VOLZ, DIRECTOR OF CASH EQUITIES AT BGC FINANCIAL IN NEW YORK

"Enough to lift us off over the overnight lows, and it was better than expected. Cap good orders were also better than expected, though ex-transportation was a little light. This is giving us a bit of a relief bounce off the lows, but is it enough to turn us? That depends on how the headlines develop throughout the day."

SCOTT BROWN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, RAYMOND JAMES, ST. PETERSBURG, FLORIDA

"I think it's consistent with a slow path in economic growth. These numbers tend to be really choppy and uneven. The market was braced for much worse news. We got a pretty positive surprise."

MICHAEL BROWN WELLS FARGO, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA

"What we're are seeing is a nice bounce back from the contraction last month, from the supply disruptions we faced from Japan.

"The most positive information we can glean from this is capital goods, which is up 5.6 percent compared to the 5.4 percent decline we observed last month.

"Capital goods orders feeds into business fixed investment, which has been posting fairly strong economic gains over the past quarters.

NIGEL GAULT, CHIEF U.S. ECONOMIST, IHS GLOBAL INSIGHT, LEXINGTON, MASSACHUSETTS

"The key thing to look at is always non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, up 1.6 percent. That's OK, it's not a great month, but at least it's moving in the right direction. A little better than you might have expected given the gloomy news that's coming out of the manufacturing surveys. So that's a small plus.

"We also have got an improvement in the shipments of non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft, reversing May's decline. That goes straight into the GDP calculation, so that's helpful for the GDP but it does mean over the last two months that spending has been roughly flat.

"So overall it's up, it may be slightly better than expected, it's not great but it is better than you would have expected given the manufacturing surveys you've seen recently.

"Certainly the next month or so of data from what we've seen in the early regional manufacturing surveys for June and the latest surveys of the labor market that at least the next month of data doesn't look like it's going to be good. We'll have a very weak ISM and then another poor employment report."

KURT KARL, CHIEF U.S. ECONOMIST, SWISS RE, NEW YORK

"There was a little improvement in the GDP annualized and the durables goods orders are better than expected. A punch from aircraft but even non-defense ex-aircraft is doing well so the capital goods outlook is pretty strong. It is a good report. That is for May which would be post the shock of Japan.

"What I am seeing is a turning around. We had a lot of bad news at the beginning of the year, initially it was oil prices and then it was Japan, and some of the things have been price impacts with the weak dollar. There has been a whole bunch of little negatives, but the way I'm looking at it is these negatives are all temporary."

VIMOMBI NSHOM, ECONOMIST, IFR ECONOMICS, A UNIT OF THOMSON REUTERS

"After orders for durable goods dropped 2.7% in April, May manufacturing activity mustered to recover most of the decline, as orders grew by 1.9%. This is an encouraging report considering the influx of manufacturing surveys suggesting an impending slowdown in the industry, and April's decline was upwardly revised from an original decline of 3.6%. However, the good tone may not follow reflecting June data."

MARKET REACTION: STOCKS: U.S. stock index futures rise. BONDS: U.S. bond prices extend losses. FOREX: The euro pares losses versus dollar.

Google hits back in FTC antitrust probe

Search engine Google has claimed it is “committed to fostering a web that benefits us all” as it confirms formal Federal Trade Commission investigation.



Google has confirmed that the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has begun a “review of our business”, and presented a robust defence of its practices.

Writing on the Google Blog in a post entitled “Supporting choice, ensuring economic opportunity”, the company’s Amit Singhal said that “At Google, we’ve always focused on putting the user first. We’re committed to giving you choices, ensuring that businesses can grow and create jobs, and, ultimately, fostering an Internet that benefits us all”.

He claimed that “it’s still unclear exactly what the FTC’s concerns are, but we’re clear about where we stand. Since the beginning, we have been guided by the idea that, if we focus on the user, all else will follow”.

The FTC is investigating suggestions that Google’s search algorithm favours the company’s own sites over its rivals. A similar investigation is also taking place in Europe.

“Using Google is a choice—and there are lots of other choices available to you for getting information: other general-interest search engines, specialized search engines, direct navigation to websites, mobile applications, social networks, and more,” Singhal claimed.

In a robust defence of the company’s practises, he added that “[Google] will continue to follow the principles that have guided us from the beginning”. He said that these included adjusting the search algorithm to improve user experience, and sharing information about how the site works. “We want you to stay with us because we’re innovating and making our products better—not because you’re locked in,” said Singhal. “Not every website can come out at the top of the page, or even appear on the first page of our search results.”

The case has clear echoes of antitrust probes into Microsoft in the Nineties, which saw the company pay millions of pounds in fines and prevented from apparent plans to dominate huge swathes of the IT sector. Google, however, will benefit from changed laws, and from the difficulty of proving that Google abused its powerful position, rather than simply providing a service that millions of businesses and consumers choose to use every day.

Sears gets incentive to move to Michigan: report Read more: http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20110624/NEWS07/110629889/sears-gets-incentive-to-


(Crain's) — Sears Holdings Corp., which has expressed interest in moving its headquarters out of Illinois, is being courted with a $50-million incentive package offered by Michigan.

The Michigan Economic Development Corp. and officials in Wayne and Oakland counties are attempting to lure the retail chain to southeast Michigan, according to a Detroit Free Press report Friday. The publication, citing unnamed sources familiar with the issue, said local Michigan agencies have floated tax breaks in addition to suggesting buildings in Dearborn and Southfield as potential sites.

The Michigan Economic Development Corp. had no comment, the Detroit Free Press report said.

Sears has expressed its dissatisfaction with recent Illinois legislation that has temporarily hiked the corporate tax rate to 7% from 4.8% and has said it would consider moving out of state. The Hoffman Estates-based retailer, parent of Kmart and Sears department stores, has been in talks with representatives from Washington, D.C., North Carolina, Texas, Tennessee and New Jersey, according to news reports.

A Sears representative was not available for comment, but the company has repeatedly issued the same statement on its future.

"It's very important for everyone to understand that we have made no decisions at this point," the company said in a statement first issued last month. "We do owe it to our associates and shareholders to consider options and alternatives and intend to be very thoughtful and thorough in our deliberations."

If Sears were to take Michigan up on its offer, it would mark a homecoming of sorts. Sears Roebuck & Co. bought Troy, Mich.-based Kmart Corp. in 2005 to form Sears Holdings.

Gov. Pat Quinn has said he would work with Sears to find a way to keep it from leaving Illinois.

The retailer is among 107 companies that will see tax breaks expire in the next three years, a situation that could lead to a number of defections.

Caterpillar Inc. and CME Group Inc. are other firms that have threatened to leave Illinois in recent weeks and months.

Mr. Quinn has already cut a deal with Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. in which the state will grant the firm $100 million in tax breaks over the next decade if the mobile-phone manufacturer agrees to keep its headquarters in Libertyville. The cell-phone maker agreed to maintain 3,000 jobs in Illinois.

Read more: http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20110624/NEWS07/110629889/sears-gets-incentive-to-move-to-michigan-report#ixzz1QGtLXVXZ
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U.S. First Quarter Third Gross Domestic Product (Text)


Following is the text of the Gross Domestic Product from the Commerce Department.

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2011, (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 1.8 percent.

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by negative contributions from federal government spending and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts

The annual revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs) will be released along with the "advance" estimate of GDP for the second quarter of 2011 on July 29. In addition to the regular revision of estimates for the most recent 3 years and the first quarter of 2011, GDP and some components will be revised back to the first quarter of 2003 (see "Preview of the Upcoming Annual NIPA Revision" in the May Survey of Current Business). The August Survey will contain an article that describes the annual revision in detail.

FOOTNOTE.--Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to- quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are annualized. ``RealüEestimates are in chained (2005) dollars. Price indexes are chain-type measures.

The deceleration in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected a sharp upturn in imports, a deceleration in PCE, a larger decrease in federal government spending, and a deceleration in nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by a sharp upturn in private inventory investment.

Motor vehicle output added 1.18 percentage points to the first-quarter change in real GDP after subtracting 0.27 percentage point from the fourth-quarter change. Final sales of computers added 0.10 percentage point to the first-quarter change in real GDP after adding 0.35 percentage point to the fourth-quarter change.

The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 3.9 percent in the first quarter, 0.1 percentage point more than in the second estimate; this index increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.3 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.1 percent in the fourth.

Real personal consumption expenditures increased 2.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 4.0 percent in the fourth. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 2.0 percent, compared with an increase of 7.7 percent. Nonresidential structures decreased 14.8 percent, in contrast to an increase of 7.6 percent. Equipment and software increased 8.8 percent, compared with an increase of 7.7 percent. Real residential fixed investment decreased 2.0 percent, in contrast to an increase of 3.3 percent.

Real exports of goods and services increased 7.6 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 8.6 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services increased 5.1 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 12.6 percent.

Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 8.1 percent in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 0.3 percent in the fourth. National defense decreased 11.8 percent, compared with a decrease of 2.2 percent. Nondefense was unchanged, after an increase of 3.7 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 4.2 percent, compared with a decrease of 2.6 percent.

The change in real private inventories added 1.31 percentage points to the first-quarter change in real GDP, after subtracting 3.42 percentage points from the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses increased inventories $55.7 billion in the first quarter, following increases of $16.2 billion in the fourth quarter and $121.4 billion in the third.

Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- increased 0.6 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 6.7 percent in the fourth.
Gross domestic purchases

Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 1.7 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 0.2 percent in the fourth.
Gross national product

Real gross national product -- the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents -- increased 3.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.8 percent in the fourth. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the world, which increased $51.1 billion in the first quarter after decreasing $10.5 billion in the fourth; in the first quarter, receipts increased $14.2 billion, and payments decreased $36.8 billion.
Current-dollar GDP

Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 4.0 percent, or $146.7 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $15,018.1 billion. In the fourth quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 3.5 percent, or $126.3 billion.
Revisions

The "third" estimate of the first-quarter change in real GDP is 0.1 percentage point more than the second estimate. A downward revision to imports and an upward revision to inventory investment were largely offset by downward revisions to exports, to nonresidential fixed investment, and to state and local government spending.

Adv Second Third (Percent change from preceding quarter)

Real GDP 1.8 1.8 1.9 Current-dollar GDP 3.7 3.8 4.0 Gross domestic purchases price index 3.8 3.8 3.9
Corporate Profits

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $48.7 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $38.2 billion in the fourth quarter. Current- production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation adjustment) -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- increased $16.7 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $36.9 billion in the fourth.

Taxes on corporate income increased $33.2 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $1.3 billion in the fourth. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments increased $15.5 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $39.5 billion in the fourth. Dividends increased $14.8 billion, compared with an increase of $8.9 billion; current-production undistributed profits increased $0.7 billion, compared with an increase of $30.6 billion.

Domestic profits of financial corporations decreased $66.3 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $57.7 billion in the fourth. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $60.7 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $10.1 billion in the fourth. In the first quarter, real gross value added of nonfinancial corporations increased, and profits per unit of real value added increased. The increase in unit profits reflected an increase in unit prices and a decrease in the unit labor costs; unit nonlabor costs were unchanged.

The rest-of-the-world component of profits increased $54.4 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $9.4 billion in the fourth. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S. residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The first-quarter increase was accounted for by an increase in receipts and a decrease in payments.

Profits before tax with inventory valuation adjustment is the best available measure of industry profits because estimates of the capital consumption adjustment by industry do not exist. This measure reflects depreciation-accounting practices used for federal income tax returns. According to this measure, domestic profits of financial corporations decreased while domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased. The increase in nonfinancial corporations reflected increases in all the major subaggregates shown except for a small decrease in transportation and warehousing. Within manufacturing, the increase reflected increases in all the industries shown except computer and electronic products.

Profits before tax increased $140.3 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $48.3 billion in the fourth. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert depreciation of fixed assets and inventory withdrawals reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption adjustment decreased $90.5 billion in the first quarter (from -$15.8 billion to -$106.3 billion), in contrast to an increase of $153.5 billion in the fourth. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased $1.2 billion (from - $103.2 billion to -$104.4 billion), compared with a decrease of $66.8 billion.

The large decrease in the first-quarter capital consumption adjustment reflects the expiration of bonus depreciation claimed under the Small Business Jobs and Credit Act of 2010. (For detailed data, see the table at www.bea.gov/national/xls/technote_tax_acts.xls.) Profits from current production are not affected because they do not depend on the depreciation-accounting practices used for federal income tax returns; rather they are based on depreciation of fixed assets valued at current cost and using consistent depreciation profiles based on used-asset prices.

Next release -- July 29, 2011, at 8:30 A.M. EDT for:

Gross Domestic Product: Second Quarter 2011 (Advance Estimate)

Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts

(First Quarter 2003 through First Quarter 2011)

Instant view: Transportation buoys durable goods orders


(Reuters) - New orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods rose more than expected in May as bookings for transportation equipment rebounded strongly, according to a government report on Friday that could allay fears of a sharp slowdown in factory activity.

U.S. economic growth was revised modestly higher in the first quarter to account for a slightly faster pace of restocking by businesses and a smaller increase in imports, government data showed on Friday, but remained anemic.

COMMENTS:

ROGER VOLZ, DIRECTOR OF CASH EQUITIES AT BGC FINANCIAL IN NEW YORK

"Enough to lift us off over the overnight lows, and it was better than expected. Cap good orders were also better than expected, though ex-transportation was a little light. This is giving us a bit of a relief bounce off the lows, but is it enough to turn us? That depends on how the headlines develop throughout the day."

SCOTT BROWN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, RAYMOND JAMES, ST. PETERSBURG, FLORIDA

"I think it's consistent with a slow path in economic growth. These numbers tend to be really choppy and uneven. The market was braced for much worse news. We got a pretty positive surprise."

MICHAEL BROWN WELLS FARGO, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA

"What we're are seeing is a nice bounce back from the contraction last month, from the supply disruptions we faced from Japan.

"The most positive information we can glean from this is capital goods, which is up 5.6 percent compared to the 5.4 percent decline we observed last month.

"Capital goods orders feeds into business fixed investment, which has been posting fairly strong economic gains over the past quarters.

NIGEL GAULT, CHIEF U.S. ECONOMIST, IHS GLOBAL INSIGHT, LEXINGTON, MASSACHUSETTS

"The key thing to look at is always non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, up 1.6 percent. That's OK, it's not a great month, but at least it's moving in the right direction. A little better than you might have expected given the gloomy news that's coming out of the manufacturing surveys. So that's a small plus.

"We also have got an improvement in the shipments of non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft, reversing May's decline. That goes straight into the GDP calculation, so that's helpful for the GDP but it does mean over the last two months that spending has been roughly flat.

"So overall it's up, it may be slightly better than expected, it's not great but it is better than you would have expected given the manufacturing surveys you've seen recently.

"Certainly the next month or so of data from what we've seen in the early regional manufacturing surveys for June and the latest surveys of the labor market that at least the next month of data doesn't look like it's going to be good. We'll have a very weak ISM and then another poor employment report."

KURT KARL, CHIEF U.S. ECONOMIST, SWISS RE, NEW YORK

"There was a little improvement in the GDP annualized and the durables goods orders are better than expected. A punch from aircraft but even non-defense ex-aircraft is doing well so the capital goods outlook is pretty strong. It is a good report. That is for May which would be post the shock of Japan.

"What I am seeing is a turning around. We had a lot of bad news at the beginning of the year, initially it was oil prices and then it was Japan, and some of the things have been price impacts with the weak dollar. There has been a whole bunch of little negatives, but the way I'm looking at it is these negatives are all temporary."

VIMOMBI NSHOM, ECONOMIST, IFR ECONOMICS, A UNIT OF THOMSON REUTERS

"After orders for durable goods dropped 2.7% in April, May manufacturing activity mustered to recover most of the decline, as orders grew by 1.9%. This is an encouraging report considering the influx of manufacturing surveys suggesting an impending slowdown in the industry, and April's decline was upwardly revised from an original decline of 3.6%. However, the good tone may not follow reflecting June data."

MARKET REACTION: STOCKS: U.S. stock index futures rise. BONDS: U.S. bond prices extend losses. FOREX: The euro pares losses versus dollar.

Swiss Franc Climbs to Record High Versus Euro Amid Concern on Debt Crisis


The Swiss franc rose against all of its 16 most-traded peers, reaching a record against the euro, as investors sought safety on concern an austerity plan to stabilize Greece won’t resolve Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis.

The dollar gained for a third week against the euro, the longest since February, on speculation Greece’s parliament may reject Prime Minister George Papandreou’s plan to cut the budget deficit, win more aid and avoid default. The pound slid for a fourth week against the dollar after U.K. policy makers discussed more monetary stimulus. Growth in U.S. manufacturing cooled in June, a report next week may show.

“All these headlines continue to add to uncertainty and nervousness amongst investors and continue to create the choppy price action that we’ve been seeing,” said Paresh Upadhyaya, head of Americas G-10 currency strategy at Bank of America Corp. in New York. “Just as you feel you’re on top of the Greek situation, you get thrown a curve ball.”

The franc touched 1.1806 versus the euro yesterday, the strongest level since the shared currency’s 1999 debut. It gained 2.6 percent for the week to 1.1826 per euro, from 1.2142 on June 17. The franc gained 1.8 percent to 83.31 centimes per dollar, from 84.82 centimes a week earlier.

The greenback appreciated 0.8 percent to $1.4188 against the euro, from $1.4306. The U.S. currency rose 0.5 percent against the yen to 80.43, from 80.05, gaining for the first time in five weeks. The euro fell 0.3 percent to 114.13 yen in its third week of losses, the longest losing streak since January.
No New Purchases

IntercontinentalExchange Inc.’s Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of six trading partners, rose for a third week as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke dashed expectations policy makers would expand stimulus measures. That eased concern Fed policies would further debase the currency. The index rose 0.8 percent to 75.583.

The central bank said June 22 after a two-day meeting it will maintain monetary stimulus to support a flagging economic recovery while letting a $600 billion bond-purchase program end on schedule this month. Bernanke told reporters policy makers are in a “different position” now than last August, when deflation posed a “nontrivial risk” and he first hinted the Fed might undertake the debt buys.

Sterling fell for a fourth week against the greenback, the longest since September, as minutes of the latest Bank of England meeting showed some policy makers saw a risk that more bond purchases may be required.

The pound weakened 1.5 percent to $1.5959, from $1.6194 on June 17. It touched $1.5939 on June 23, a three-month low.
Austerity Vote

Greece’s Papandreou may struggle to pass austerity measures even after winning a confidence vote by 155-143 on June 22, which sent the euro to a one-week high against the dollar. The prime minister will seek parliament’s approval next week for a 78 billion-euro ($111 billion) package of budget cuts and asset sales, a condition for more aid the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

“Anything that starts with a “G” I’ll be paying attention to,” said Carl Forcheski, a director on the corporate currency sales desk at Societe Generale SA in New York.

Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos said he’ll speak to dissenters from the ruling Pasok party in a bid to persuade them to back the austerity measures in a vote that’s due by June 30.

Thomas Robopoulos, a lawmaker from the party, said he hadn’t decided whether he’ll vote for the plan. He said yesterday by telephone he was leaning toward voting against it.

“The majority that they had for the confidence on Tuesday of 155 seems to be dwindling away,” said Mark McCormick, a New York-based currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.
Italian Banks

The euro fell 1.5 percent over the past three months, according to Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes, which track the currencies of 10 developed nations. The Swiss franc was the best performer, gaining 8.4 percent.

The 17-nation currency fell against most major counterparts yesterday as Italy’s two largest banks, UniCredit SpA and Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, led a drop in bank stocks in Milan. Trading in both firms’ shares was briefly suspended after breaching limits on intraday swings.

Moody’s Investors Service said June 23 it may downgrade 13 Italian banks because they would be vulnerable to a cut in the government’s credit rating. The firm said last week Italy’s ratings may be cut because of slowing economic growth and the potential for Europe’s debt crisis to drive up borrowing costs.

“Adding to unexpected risk to the euro, the market now has to concentrate on risks to Spain and Italy, which were long considered safe in this go-around,” said Bank of America’s Upadhyaya.
Canadian Dollar

Canada’s dollar dropped against the greenback as crude oil, the nation’s biggest export, fell. The International Energy Agency said its members will release 60 million barrels of oil from emergency stockpiles to alleviate possible shortages following the loss of Libyan crude.

The Canadian currency depreciated 0.9 percent to 98.86 cents per U.S. dollar, from 97.94 cents a week earlier. It touched 98.87, yesterday, within one cent of the weakest since March 17. Crude fell 2.3 percent to $91.16 a barrel in New York, dropping below $90 on June 23 for the first time since February.

The Institute of Supply Management’s manufacturing index slipped to 51.8 in June from 53.5 in May, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists before the data is released on July 1. Readings above 50 signal growth.

Monday, 20 June 2011

Paris Air Show: Accidents blight Airbus

Airbus' appearance at the Paris Air Show has been blighted by misfortune, with two key planes damaged.

The wing tip of its demonstration A380 superjumbo struck a building at Le Bourguet airport venue during taxiing.

Gearbox problems have stopped its A400M military transporter from performing a scheduled aerial display, although it will still take part in a fly-past.

It left Boeing able to steal the limelight on the first day of the show with its new, lengthened 747-8 jumbo.

The US rival said it had already received 17 orders for the enlarged plane from two as yet unnamed customers, one of them for 15 planes.

The firm also claimed the first confirmed deal of the show: an order for six 777 planes worth $1.7bn (£1.1bn) from Qatar Airways.

Eco-plane

Despite its bad luck at the opening, Airbus is expected to put in a strong showing at this year's show with a string of orders expected for its new low-emission A320neo plane.

The medium-haul 150-seater planes are a redesign of the traditional A320 that cuts emissions by 15%, reducing clients' carbon footprints and their fuel bills.


The European firm has now received orders and committments to buy 390 of the A320neos.

The first to arrive during the air show came from leasing firm GE Capital Aviation Services, which said it would buy 60 aircraft worth $5.1bn.

Airbus signed deals for 100 planes last week, with budget carriers Cebu of the Philippines and GoAir of India.

Orders have also come in from airlines Virgin American, IndiGo and Tam, as well as from the plane leasing firm ILFC

However, the $16bn 180-plane order from IndiGo, which is the biggest single order by far, is still stuck in negotiations.

Another 200 planes are expected to be ordered by Malaysia's AirAsia, with the related plane engine order said to be going to the French-American firm CFM.

And Scandinavian airline SAS is expected to follow suit, with plans to buy 30 A320neos worth $2.4bn, with engines from CFM.

Qatar Airways chief executive Akbar al-Baker said that he too expects to buy the Airbus planes, on top of the 777 order already placed with Boeing.

Upgrade delays

Boeing is considering whether to upgrade its 737 planes in response to the apparent popularity of the A320neo, or whether to develop a new plane altogether.

The US firm said it intended to take its time over the decision and would not be making an announcement at the air show.

Airbus announced on Saturday a two-year delay to its new stretched A350 jets.

The A350-1000 will not be delivered until 2017, as Airbus wants to give Rolls Royce more time to develop engines for the plane.

The standard A350-900 is still expected to be ready by late 2013.

Separately, Rolls Royce signed a $2.2bn contract with Brazil's Tam airline to deliver Trent XWB engines for 27 Airbus A350 aircraft, as well as a 12-year servicing contract.

Also in Brazil, manufacturer Embraer said it had signed deals to sell 39 of its Embraer 190 regional planes, worth $1.7bn.

This year's Paris Air Show is taking place at Le Bourget exhibition centre on the outskirts of Paris from 20 to 26 June 2011.


Thursday, 26 May 2011

Apple Bumps Google and Facebook Finally Makes it: Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands




Thanks to the iPhone and iPad, Apple bumped Google in this year's list of Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands, the first time that Apple has held first place. Google has been the No. 1 brand for the last four years in a row.

"I would say the big story to me is the tale of the tablet. If you see just how much Apple's brand value has gone up, the iPad is large part of that," said Eileen Campbell, CEO of Millward Brown, the global research agency that published the list.

Last month, Apple announced a 95 percent increase in profit with second quarter earnings of $5.99 billion. The company announced it sold 18.65 million iPhones that quarter, up 113 percent from the period one year ago. Sales of the iPad were lower than expected, however, at 4.69 million units during the quarter.

Campbell said AT&T's significant jump, to No. 7 from No. 22 last year, was also expedited by its relationship with Apple.

Whether we will see Verizon's partnership with Apple affect that carrier's standing is yet to be seen. The current list was compiled for the 2010 fiscal year. Verizon, which jumped to No. 13 from No. 20, first announced in February that it would carry Apple's iPhone.

Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Customers wait in line at the flagship Apple... View Full Size

Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Customers wait in line at the flagship Apple Store in New York, June 24, 2010. Thanks to the iPad, Apple bumped Google in this year's Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands survey.
Apple vs. Microsoft Earnings Battle Watch Video

iPad Tracking? Watch Video

Apple Puts iPhone Tracking Rumors to Rest Watch Video

Facebook appeared for the first time in the Top 100 list at No. 35. The social network company had the highest percentage brand growth this year of all the companies surveyed.

Campbell said what contributed to Facebook's boost was Goldman Sach's $50 billion valuation of Facebook, which is privately held, in January.

"Facebook continues to have great growth prospects," Campbell said. "It's no longer where people are looking up their college boyfriends, or kids connecting. It's becoming really truly a broad social network."

This is the sixth annual list compiled by Millward Brown, which compiles the list from a database of more than 2 million consumer interviews in 30 countries along with publicly available financial data.

Campbell said the list, officially called BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands, places an emphasis on consumer opinion as well as a firm's financial valuation.

"The people who really drive brand value is the consumer, whether they're business consumers or traditional home consumers," Campbell said.

For this year's list, Campbell said strong brands are able to withstand the economic downturn or a brand crisis and that was evident in this year's list.

BP, for example, dropped to No. 64 from No. 34 last year.

"Last year we did the valuation before BP's oil spill, so BP's valuation dropped 29 percent this year, which is a great deal," said Campbell. "But we thought that was a pretty good number for them given all the negative press."

Campbell said BP entered the 2010 fiscal year as the most socially responsible of oil companies.

"So they had a pretty good reserve of goodwill," she said.

"Frugal" brands such as McDonald's (up to No. 4 from No. 6) were able to withstand the economic downturn, while luxury brands "bounced back quite nicely" this year, in part because of a recovering economy, said Campbell.

Another surprise in this year's list includes the growing presence of non-U.S. companies, especially from Brazil, Russia, India and China.

"We've taken particular attention to Chinese brands," Campbell said. "There has been a real emergence, particularly in China, of value in creating power brands, a brand that can drive real financial value."

2011 Top 10 Most Valuable Global Brands:

1. Apple

2. Google

3. IBM

4. McDonald's

5. Microsoft

6. Coca-Cola Company

7. AT&T

8. Marlboro

9. China Mobile

10. GE

Sony forecasts return to modest profit Jonathan SoBle Tokyo— The Financial Times Published Thursday, May. 26, 2011 8:31AM EDT Last updated Thursday, M




Sony forecast it would return to a modest net profit this year after suffering its worst loss in 16 years in the wake of Japan’s devastating earthquake and tsunami.

The forecast profit of ¥80-billion ($978-million U.S.), issued by the technology group on Thursday, was more cautious than analysts had expected even after the disaster, which disrupted supply networks across industries including semiconductors and cars.


Skyworks To Buy Advanced Analogic For $262.5M In Cash, Stock

Analog chip designer Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) agreed to buy Advanced Analogic Technologies Inc. (AATI) Thursday for roughly $262.5 million in cash and stock, adding a portfolio of power-management semiconductor products it expects to immediately boost earnings.

Advanced shares surged 53% to $5.96 in after-hours trading, still shy of the offer's nominal value, while Skyworks stock was down 1.9% at $26.52. Through the close, shares in Advanced have risen 15% in the last year, underperforming the growth in the market at large.

The deal comes little more than a week after the analog chip designer unveiled another takeover, agreeing to buy privately held chip-design company SiGe Semiconductor Inc. for up to $275 million.

The takeovers lengthen a growing list of consolidations in the tech sector, particularly in semiconductors. Earlier this month, Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) agreed to buy Varian Semiconductor Equipment Associates Inc. (VSEA) in a $4.9 billion deal, after Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) agreed in April to buy National Semiconductor Corp. (NSM) for about $6.5 billion in cash.

Thursday, Skyworks offered a nominal $6.13 a share for Advanced, comprising $3.68 in cash and 0.08725 share of Skyworks common stock for every share of Advanced Analogic. The company said the $6.13 nominal value represents a 52% premium to Advanced's 30-day trailing average.

Skyworks said the takeover will expand its portfolio with some complementary analog chip products, like battery chargers, DC/DC converters and voltage regulators.

It has predicted both the Advanced Analogic and SiGe Semiconductor deals would be immediately accretive to earnings.

-By Joan E. Solsman, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2291; joan.solsman@dowjones.com

Are Your Kids Safe From Drowning? Memorial Day weekend kicks off pool and swimming season


Although official summer is still weeks away, Memorial Day weekend is a traditional time for most area pools to open and, experts say, a time for parents to learn how to keep their kids safe from drowning.

In Virginia, between 2005 and 2009, there were 464 fatal drownings and 83 percent of those were "unintentional injury deaths," according to Heather Board, who manages the Virginia Health Department's Injury Prevention Program. (Not all of those deaths are from swimming pool drownings.) Drowning is the #1 leading cause of death for children ages 1-4 in Virginia, she noted.

Also this week, the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission kicked off the second year of its Pool Safely: Simple Steps Save Lives campaign. The Pool Safely campaign is a national public education effort to reduce child drownings and nonfatal submersion and entrapment incidents in swimming pools and spas.

CPSC's new statistics show, based on reported statistics, 96 percent of victims involved in a submersion incident will die. Fatalities usually occur the day of the drowning event. For the victims who survive the event, most will succumb to their injuries within a week. Only 4 percent of near-drowning victims will survive beyond a week, and many will have severe injuries and require intensive medical care, the agency noted.

Swimming Safety Tips from the Virginia Department of Health include:

  • Even if a child has had swimming lessons, a designated adult should be supervising at all times.
  • If a group of children is swimming, parents should take turns being a "designated water watcher."
  • Board said the bulk of drownings happen when a parent is nearby but is distracted and not keeping an eye on his or her child. "Be present," she noted. Don't spend time checking e-mail, texting, reading, etc.
  • If you own a pool, it should ideally have a four-sided fence around it, in addition to the yard being fenced in. Latches on the fence should be self-closing and high enough to be out of reach of children.
  • Doors leading to your yard should be locked.
  • Invest in a water motion alarm for your pool.
  • Do not rely on water wings, noodles or floats to keep your child from drowning.
  • If a child is in trouble, Board said you will not hear a lot of splashing or cries for help. Especially for children 4 and younger, "they would drown very quietly."
  • Know CPR. "If something happens, you might be able to save someone in those few moments," Board said. Contact your local Red Cross for a CPR class.

Pool Drain Cover Recall

On Wednesday, the CPSC announced a recall of eight pool and in-ground spa drain covers due to incorrect ratings, saying the covers pose a possible entrapment hazard to swimmers.

The recalled drain covers were incorrectly rated to handle the flow of water through the cover, which could pose a possible entrapment hazard to swimmers and bathers, the CPSC said. For more information, see http://www.cpsc.gov/cpscpub/prerel/prhtml11/11230.html

Do you have any water safety tips to share? Post them in the "Comments" box following this article.

Hong Kong art fair opens with nod to China's Ai Weiwei


Hong Kong's growing international ART HK 11 fair has opened with a nod to Chinese activist artist Ai Weiwei, currently in detention in China.

One of his works, a sculpture from 2007 called Marble Arm, is among the thousands of exhibits.

It features a defiant raised middle finger. Protest T-shirts and badges in support of Mr Ai are also on sale.

Mr Ai - a vocal critic of the Chinese government - was detained in April trying to board a flight for Hong Kong.

The Chinese government has alleged that Mr Ai is involved in tax evasion and destroying evidence; his supporters say the charges are politically motivated due to his activism in recent years.

The Marble Arm on display in Hong Kong is connected to a series of photographs entitled Study of Perspectives that Mr Ai had created since 1995.

AI'S TANGLES WITH AUTHORITIES

  • Supported online campaign to compile names of children who died in 2008 Sichuan earthquake - many in schools whose construction was allegedly compromised due to corruption
  • In August 2009, beaten up by police in Sichuan while trying to testify for dissident Tan Zuoren
  • Although a co-designer of Beijing's Bird's Nest Olympics stadium, he later disavowed the project, condemning China's hosting of the Games as "fake and hypocritical"
  • His frequently censored blog was read by 10,000 people a day until it was shut down by the authorities in May 2009
  • Ai Weiwei is a "maverick" who "chooses to have a different attitude from ordinary people toward law", the Global Times said

The study features the artist raising his middle finger in front of buildings including the White House in Washington, the Eiffel Tower in Paris and China's Tiananmen Square, as a gesture questioning centres of power.

The artwork is being displayed by the Swiss-Beijing dealer Galerie Urs Meile, which has worked with Mr Ai since the late 1990s.

About 260 galleries from around the world are exhibiting works at the fair, and many local galleries are mounting special shows to coincide with the event.

The growing wealth of the mainland Chinese elite remains the primary focus of the fair, where both collectors and investors are gathering for three days.

Other artworks on show range from Picasso to Damien Hirst, along with works displaying more Chinese characteristics.

More on This Story

Gold knocked from three-week peak by sharp silver selloff




  • Shoppers browse for gold jewellery in Vientiane, Laos. Euro-denominated gold slid by about 1 per cent but still held near a record just above €1,088 (Dh5,660) an ounce struck on Wednesday.

London: Gold fell yesterday after a sharp sell-off in the silver market, but still remained within sight of three-week highs, supported by investors seeking perceived havens from the worsening Eurozone debt crisis.

Europe's policy options to avert a Greek debt default appeared to be dwindling, sparking fears of a chain reaction affecting other heavily indebted countries in the 17-nation currency bloc.

The euro rose to one-week highs against the dollar after a report that China was interested in buying "bailout bonds" for Portugal, although ongoing concern about the lasting impact of the crisis pulled the currency down from session highs.

This in turn helped the dollar pare gains and stripped as much as 4 per cent off the silver price, denting gold.

Recovering

Spot silver fell to a low of $36.30 (Dh133) an ounce before recovering to trade down 2.8 per cent at $36.83, while spot gold was down 0.4 per cent at $1,517.70 an ounce, after hitting $1,532.00 on Wednesday, its strongest since May 4.

"This is a major intraday reversal of some 8 per cent, the potential right now is that we see one step forward and two steps back in silver and I think it can continue," said Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg. "The real problem is the price increase before was overdone and the market was overheated... speculative investors have not yet exited [their positions]," he said, adding: "This is a situation where the tail is wagging the dog."

Euro-denominated gold slid by about 1 per cent on the day but still held near a record just above €1,088 (Dh5,660) an ounce struck on Wednesday, while dollar-priced gold was expected to maintain more stability. "We are in for a prolonged period of prices treading water and probably stagnating at around $1,500. I wouldn't be looking for as much positive dynamic going on, despite the demand for it as a safe-haven right now being fuelled by the debt crisis," Commerzbank's Weinberg added.

Silver touched a record at $49.51 in late April before falling sharply on a broad sell-off in commodities and after exchange operators in Shanghai and New York raised the amount of money required to trade silver futures.

Volatility

The CME Group may bring down margins over time once the market volatility eases, Harriet Hunnable, CME managing director for metals products, told Reuters in a phone interview.

CME, operator of the world's leading energy, grain and precious metal markets, hiked trading margins for silver five times over a two-week period up to May 9 by a total of about 84 per cent.

"We still think that concerns about the ability of the EU to manage Greece's sovereign debt problems and potential contagion to other peripheral countries will be supportive for gold," said Natalie Robertson, commodities strategist at ANZ.


Saturday, 8 May 2010

That's $16 million, NOT $16 billion: Possible trader goof may have sparked 1,000-point Dow swing Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/05/


The difference between a B and an M may have caused Thursday's heart-stopping Dow plunge of nearly 1,000 points.

A trader may have accidentally entered $16 billion - instead of $16 million - in a deal involving Procter and Gamble, sparking the massive selloff, according to multiple reports.

"I heard it was a trading error at a big firm," trader Charlie Flood said outside the New York Stock Exchange after the market closed. "Somebody hit a wrong button."

The stock market rebounded from its 998-point nosedive - its biggest point drop ever - to close down 347.80 points, a 3.2% decline, at 10,520.32.

"It was panic," Flood said. "We haven't seen this in a long time."

"It became a frenzy," said Brad Pine, a Manhattan investment adviser.

As fears over Greece's debt crisis spread global economic jitters, Procter & Gamble's share price suddenly - and inexplicably - plummeted nearly 37% to $39.37.

The drop ignited sell orders across the market.

By the close, P&G was off just 2.2%.

Reps from the major U.S. stock exchanges and the Securities and Exchange Commission held an emergency conference call last night to look into potentially mistaken trades involving a number of stocks.

Nasdaq announced it will cancel all trades of stocks at prices that were 60% above or below the last price at 2:40 p.m., or immediately prior.

The crash began just after 2:30 p.m. The Dow went from being down 400 to down 800 in just minutes, eventually slipping below 10,000 to 9,869.

The bottom falling out felt like "what happened in 1987," said investment adviser David Honigstock, referring to the worst day in modern history for the Dow - Oct. 19, 1987, when stocks plunged 22.6%.

"You look at your screen and you see the market in a complete free fall," he said.

By 3:09 p.m., the market had regained 700 points.

Beyond the apparent computer glitch, the troubles in Greece added to the panic selling, with TV stations showing scenes of rioting protesters angry over government austerity measures.

"There was a fundamental concern about the entire European continent," said Peter Boockvar, a strategist at Miller Tabak. "The world is a much more dangerous place right now."

Traders warned of more stomach-churning days ahead as the crisis in Greece continues.

"Until we resolve the situation, volatility is here to stay," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

Wednesday, 28 April 2010

Goldman charges puts Wall Street confidence on the line?

April 22, 2010

America's biggest banks are rolling in dough again. The U.S. President is going straight to Wall Street to pitch tough financial reforms to avoid future financial meltdowns. The regulatory body, the S.E.C., is pursuing civil fraud charges against Goldman Sachs. And some people are crying conspiracy. In a rare statement, the head of the S.E.C. said the watchdog does not "coordinate" its "enforcement actions with the White House, Congress or political committees," re-asserting its independence in the face of criticism."

Extraordinary times continue in the financial world. But what on earth is going on? If you believe one analyst we featured on World Business Today, this moment in the global financial crisis may be an important one. Richard Bove, Financial Analyst for Rochdale Securities, fears this could be the start of a pursuit of major financial institutions that could erode confidence in the U.S. financial system.

Bove calls the reaction to the banking crisis in 2008 "hysteria" and says the Goldman transactions may be complex, possibly unsavory, but they are not fraudulent.

"On one side you have a sophisticated investor who wants to short a bunch of mortgages. On the other side, you have two sophisticated investors who've gone through all these mortgages and decided which ones they want to keep, and which ones they don't want to keep. And they made the decision to buy them. The government is not suing the guy who wants to short, or the guy who bought the mortgages. The government is going after the middleman. What's the logic in that?"

Media reports are questioning the strength of the SEC's case. The agency says it has appropriate evidence that will be presented in court, at the appropriate time.

We should not be pre-trying this case in the media. But the questions the case raises are important ones and the voices on it, divergent.

Did somebody hear Richard Bove defend Goldman Sachs as good for society? Yes, you did. And that derivatives, the exotic instruments everyone is so upset about here, are good for the economy because they help drive down risk? Yes, you did.

It's a tough case to make in this climate, but Bove says Goldman should be defending itself as a business that does "societal good," because it "lowers taxes, and adds jobs and business opportunities." However, because of the financial crisis and these charges it is viewed simply as a bunch of greedy bankers who do fraudulent things.

"The U.S. has to raise 1.3 trillion dollars this year to cover the deficit. It has to roll over 3 trillion dollars in existing debt. Who is going to do that? Are we going to have a bunch of small community banks to set up desks in front of their branches and sell savings bonds at 25 dollars a pop? Or do we need a very sophisticated company that can access capital markets all over the globe to raise that money? And if it doesn't raise that money what happens to taxes in the U.S. Somebody has to make that money."

Of course, the courts will decide whether Goldman did anything fraudulent.

Bove is firmly in the camp of those who believe the government's case is weak, but he's quick to add: "I would never defend Goldman Sachs. I would not defend their ethics. I just think in this particular instance they were not guilty of any crime."

Greece crisis deepens on global market sell-off


By Kevin Voigt, CNN
April 28, 2010 -- Updated 1513 GMT (2313 HKT)

(CNN) -- The eurozone faces its toughest crisis to date as the credit downgrade in Greece spooked global investors and raised the specter that the debt crisis may spiral to other European economies.

Markets from London to New York and Tokyo all tumbled in the immediate wake of Standard & Poor's downgrade of Greece's debt to junk status on Tuesday; the FTSE 100 dropped 2.6 percent before recouping losses.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 213 points to below 11,000 in early trading Tuesday before rallying into positive territory.

Japan's Nikkei closed down 2.57 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index ended the day down 1.47 percent. Markets in Shanghai and Australia were also in negative territory.

European markets followed Asian indexes into the red Wednesday. London's FTSE-100 fell but pulled back into positive territory, but Frankfurt's DAX, and the Paris CAC 40 were all down and Spain's IBEX fell by more than 1 percent.

Greek officials Wednesday morning banned the practice of short selling on the Athens stock exchange as a way to keep speculators from hurting Greek shares even more. The ban will last for two months, until June 28, the Hellenic Capital Market Commission said.


The junk downgrade of Greece's sovereign debt came as a planned bailout by European nations and the International Monetary Fund faced increasing opposition in Germany -- the largest economy of the 16 nations united under the euro currency -- and increased rancor in Greece regarding planned austerity measures to reduce the nation's debt, which stands now at 13.6 percent of the nation's gross domestic product.

Q&A: What does Greece's debt rating downgrade mean

The euro dropped to its lowest level in nearly a year in Wednesday trading in Asia, where it fell to as low as $1.31.

The junk rating now makes it much more difficult and expensive for Greece to try to raise money and debt in world markets. Standard & Poor 's also reduced the debt credit rating of Portugal, heightening fears of a "Greek contagion" that could spread to other European nations.

Greek austerity measures prompt strike

"It's like a domino effect," David Buick of BGC Partners in London told CNN. The downgrade increases the likelihood of a double-dip recession "which we all hope to avoid," he added.

"This is a dangerous process," he said. "All the speculators out there -- they're like rats up a drain pipe -- will make those cracks (in the Eurozone economies) into crevices."

After the credit downgrade, the IMF is considering raising its share of planned assistance to Greece by $10 billion for a total of more than $73 billion. But some analysts say Greece will need even more time and cash to avoid defaulting on its debt payments.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Wednesday that Germany would do what it can to help Greece out of the financial "but also Greece has to do its part."

"Obviously what Greece has to do is a difficult thing, but I think they are committed to doing it," the head of the International Monetary Fund, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, said in an appearance with the German leader.

More cash for Greece?

Defaulting on its debt payments is not an option Greece wants to consider if it is to remain among the eurozone economies, former Greece Economics Minister Yiannos Papantoniou told CNN. It also raises the chance strong economies like Germany may walk away from the euro as its currency.

Fact Box
"Junk" rating explained

* Standard & Poor's is among a handful of credit rating agencies who gauge the ability of the issuer to repay debt

* Top rating is AAA

* Anything less than a BBB rating is considered "speculative," or in the parlance of the markets: junk

* Greece sovereign debt is now rated BB+, the same as Azerbaijan, Egypt and Panama

Default and restructuring the debt "is the way out of the euro ... [and] will inflIct lasting damage to Greece because Greece will get a bad name and stigma in the markets for years to come as Argentina has done," Papantoniou said. "Moreover, I'm sure that if Greece is forced to restructure its debt, Germany will come and say, 'Unfortunately gentlemen we can't be part of the same monetary union because your paper is undervalued and ours is strong.'"

Papantoniou was optimistic a bailout would come before Greece defaulted on its debt payment. "This will definitely give some breathing space -- but the problem doesn't end there," he said. "Next year in 2011 Greece will have to go back to the markets and be able to borrow at reasonable rates."

Analysts said it was likely Greece would also need more time to reduce its debt levels. "Anyone who thinks they can take that rickety economy ... and pull it around in one year, they're on a different planet," Buik said.

The pace of the Greece bailout negotiations, which started in January, has exasperated some market watchers.

"I think we're already in pretty disastrous territory even before these latest problems arose," said Vanessa Rossi, a senior research fellow at Chatham House. "Having taken ... several months to even get to the point which Greece is asking for a bailout and assistance -- and now we're not even sure if they're going to get it and under what terms --is a real disaster in and of itself."

Kirby Daley, senior strategist for Newedge Group, believes the negotiations between the IMF and Germany are slow because the Greece bailout may turn into a blueprint for future bailouts of eurozone nations. "Greece is setting the standard ... whatever they do there, then they may face the same funding levels for Portugal, Spain and Italy."

Moreover, the risks placed on the credit worthiness of Greek debt may risk investor appetite in sovereign debt of nations like the UK, the United States and Japan, Daley said.

"We've been hearing about these issues for years about our kids paying for our debts ... but now it's not our kids, it's us," Daley said.


Friday, 23 April 2010

Coney Island Getting a $30 Million Italian Makeover


Workers in Altavilla Vicentina, Italy, prepare a ride that will become a new attraction at Coney Island in New York City. More Photos »

ALTAVILLA VICENTINA, Italy — Alberto Zamperla sweeps through the cavernous workshop here where his amusement rides are manufactured while workers measure and bang and solder enormous platforms, oddly shaped beams and assorted fiberglass vehicles.

Spring is a busy time for his company, and attractions are being prepared for the summer season that is about to open in theme parks around the world.

This year, however, one destination has Mr. Zamperla racing against the clock: Coney Island in Brooklyn, where in just a few weeks he will present a new amusement park featuring 22 rides, including the Tickler, a family-oriented roller coaster; the whirly Mega Disko; and Air Race, a heart-gulping aerobatic experience.

Coney Island is the largest investment yet in the 50-year history of the Zamperla Group. Zamperla is the majority shareholder of Central Amusement International, the New Jersey-based company that signed an agreement in February with New York City to build and manage the amusement area. So far, Central Amusement has spent $15 million on the refurbishment of the park, about half of the $30 million it expects to invest.

“Ride manufacturers have been operating rides in parks or fairgrounds for many years,” said Andreas Veilstrup Andersen, executive director of the European office of the International Association of Amusement Parks and Attractions. “However, a project as big as Coney Island is very unusual.”

Time has been tight, with the park’s opening set for the end of May.

“We had a pretty good idea of what we could produce on time,” said Mr. Zamperla, who is chief executive and president. “There’s a lot of pressure, because all eyes are on us. Things just can’t be good, they have to be perfect.”

Luigi De Vita, managing director of the company, added: “When we’re under pressure, we give the best of ourselves.”

Theme parks and amusement parks have a global lure, with about 758 million visitors worldwide in 2007, according to the latest study from PricewaterhouseCoopers on the outlook for entertainment and media. Worldwide revenue in 2007 was $24 billion, the study said.

The Zamperla Group, according to industry experts, is ranked among the top five manufacturers of amusement park rides.

The Coney Island project will be called Luna Park, after the original playground that stood there until World War II. Drawings for the new main gate on Surf Avenue mimic the original design, but flashier.

The park at Coney Island “had its glory but lacked an innovative spirit,” Mr. Zamperla said of a site that in recent decades had become seedy.

In February, Central Amusement won the bid on a 10-year lease to build and operate the park, which sits on a city-owned lot.

“Their specific proposal was a nice blend of honoring the history of Coney Island while developing it as a modern 21st-century amusement park,” said Seth W. Pinsky, president of the New York City Economic Development Corporation.

The Zamperla Group was chosen because it had a sound track record in operating amusement parks, including the Victorian Gardens, a children’s amusement area at Wollman Rink in Central Park in Manhattan. And it was known as the producer of “some of the most exciting rides in the world,” Mr. Pinsky said.

The Zamperla family has been building amusement park attractions in Altavilla Vicentina since the early 1960s. Alberto’s grandfather, Umberto Zamperla, opened one of the first movie houses in Italy, then moved into carnival attractions. His father, Antonio Zamperla, worked in traveling shows before deciding to settle in this Veneto town to start inventing and manufacturing rides.

Alberto Zamperla, 58, the eldest of five children, took the show on the road, so to speak, and there are now factories or sales offices in several countries, including the United States, China and Russia. His group sells to customers in more than 90 countries and now exports about 95 percent of its products.

There are about 185 employees in Italy, with an additional 270 around the world.

The nuts and bolts of the business — its administration as well as its main manufacturing activities — are at the headquarters near Vicenza, an industrial district that is the third-largest exporting center in Italy, according to the local chamber of commerce.

A stroll though the headquarters at Altavilla Vicentina hints at the complexity of producing amusement park rides for the world’s theme parks, including various Disney Parks (“In our business, it’s the best reference you can have,” Mr. Zamperla said), Six Flags theme parks and malls worldwide. Even the late Michael Jackson’s Neverland Ranch has Zamperla rides.

On average, the company spends about one million euros ($1.3 million) a year designing new products, using complicated computer algorithms and mathematical models. The attractions are then built and tested here. Zamperla has dozens of patents on items like merry-go-round decorations and roller-coaster seats.

“This is where ideas are born,” Mr. Zamperla beamed as he looked at the MotoCoaster, a ride being prepared for a dinosaur theme park in Changzhou, China. Each ride requires about a year from design to delivery, he said, and can cost anywhere from 20,000 euros to 6 million euros. The MotoCoaster sells for 3.5 million euros and will be one of the attractions at Coney Island next year.

Demand is growing in new markets, especially in the Middle and Far East. The Zamperla Group has a factory and sales offices in Suzhou, China, to serve the fast-growing Chinese market. “We’re not going to make the mistake of underestimating the Chinese,” he said.

The factory in China produces about four million euros worth of rides for the Chinese market. He exports about the same amount from Italy to China and hopes to reach 20 million euros in sales in two years.

In well-established markets like the United States, long-term success in the amusement ride industry depends on novelty, Mr. Andersen said.

This year, for example, Air Race, an airborne experience that the company describes as “the ultimate thrill ride” will have its debut at Coney Island, alongside more placid family fare. Next year, rides are expected in the Scream Zone, an addition to the park that will feature several Zamperla roller coasters intended mostly for teenagers.

“In the end, all we want to do is build rides that people will enjoy,” Mr. Zamperla said. And Coney Island, he said, “will be the perfect showcase.”

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